I got a number of emails, asking queries about the demerger. Seems like there is a bit of confusion about how the scheme has been interpreted/understood by people. So, here are some clarifications about the same.
What is the entire scheme?
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What will happen due to the scheme?
- AIL (along with the TVS Motor stake) will get amalgamated with SCL and will stay in SCL itself. Nothing related to AIL is getting demerged. Since its a wholly owned company anyway, this has no effect on the financials.
- Existing shares of SCL will get cancelled. For every 2 of existing SCL shares, you will get 1 share of SCL and 1 share of SIL (all FV remain same)
- As a result, the number of shares in SCL's share capital will become half, from 3.8 cr shares, to 1.9 cr shares, FV Rs.5.
- The shares of SIL will not be listed. Instead, an exit option at Rs.48 per share is being provided (as detailed in previous post)
- Shares of SCL will be listed.
- % shareholding of everybody remains the same.
Is Rs.48 per share a fair exit for SIL shareholders?
In my opinion, it is a fair and generous exit being given to SIL shareholders. SIL will be essentially an investment company, with some investments which are not doing well (like TVS Electronics) and which will have very low dividend paying ability. SIL will have capital of 1.95 cr equity shares of Rs.5 each. At Rs.48, thats a valuation (market cap) of Rs.94 cr which is being provided to the shareholders of SIL.
If SIL were to be listed, looking at its financial position, I do not think that it will receive the same stock price (Rs.48) or market cap (Rs.94 cr). Shares of such holding companies remain listed at huge discounts. Hence, its my personal opinion that the shareholders of SIL are being given a more than fair deal.
Then whats my problem with the scheme?
The problem I had and which i mentioned in the previous post is about who is paying this money for exit, to SIL minority shareholders. Its not the promoters. Its a (indirectly) wholly controlled subsidiary of SCL itself, which is paying. So nothing goes out of the promoters pockets for gaining virtual 100% control of SIL. To be fair, the amount involved is relatively smaller, about 19 cr (20% of SIL).
- Since there is share capital restructuring happening in SCL, in my view, SCL will get delisted for a few days.
- When SCL relists again, its number of shares will be half of those at present. So, its EPS will become double. Hence, the price should also become double. I think SCL should be in the 275-325 range once it lists, if its at CMP till ex-date. (Please dont be happy..even though the price might double, your number of shares will become half..hence there will be no impact on the total value).
- The option being given to SIL shareholders is to either take an equity share or take a redeemable preference share of SIL. In my view, it makes most sense to opt for the equity share instead of the debenture, in case you are a shareholder of the SCL on record date. (I am not a shareholder of the company as on date, I have yet to complete my research on this special situation fully. I may or may not buy the shares in future).
Cheers and happy investing...
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